Search

MTBS3D RT @IFCSummit: .@Dell’s Director of Virtualization and Commercial #VR and #AR is speaking at #IFCSummit. https://t.co/aBSSFDfmE6
MTBS3D RT @IFCSummit: .@tifcagroup’s International Future Computing Summit ushers in #clientocloudrevolution. #IFCSummit #PC #cloud #XR #VR #AR #A
MTBS3D RT @IFCSummit: Dr. Ali Khayrallah, Engineering Director for @ericsson speaking at #IFCSummit. #clientocloudrevolution #cloudcomputing #futu
MTBS3D RT @tifcagroup: TIFCA releases new #ClienttoCloud Vision Document and a $200 off code for @IFCSummit tickets. #TIFCA #IFCSummit #cloud #cli
MTBS3D RT @IFCSummit: .@tifcagroup releases new #ClienttoCloud Vision Document and a $200 off code for #IFCSummit tickets. #TIFCA #cloud #clientot
MTBS3D RT @MTBS3D: Interview with Shawn Frayne, CEO of @LKGGlass, #3D footage included. Alex Hornstein, CTO of Looking Glass Factory, will be spe…
MTBS3D Interview with Shawn Frayne, CEO of @LKGGlass, #3D footage included. Alex Hornstein, CTO of Looking Glass Factory,… https://t.co/sMLRxLd7eE
MTBS3D RT @IFCSummit: #IFCSummit is proud to announce @intel as a Platinum Sponsor! #Intel #futurecomputing #cloud #gamedev #AI #AR #VR https://t.…
MTBS3D RT @IFCSummit: IFC Summit is proud to announce @AMD as a Silver Sponsor for #IFCSummit! #CloudComputing #FutureComputing #AI #gamedev #AR #…
MTBS3D RT @IfcSummit: IFC Summit welcomes Professor Bebo White to our futurists panel. @beboac is a Department Associate (Emeritus) at the SLAC Na…
MTBS3D RT @IfcSummit: Nima Baiati Global Head of Cybersecurity Solutions for @Lenovo is speaking at #IFCSummit. #IFCSummit2019 #CyberSecurity http…
MTBS3D RT @IfcSummit: Jeffrey Shih Lead Product Manager for @unity3d’s efforts in #ArtificialIntelligence is speaking at #IFCSummit. #IFCSummit201
MTBS3D RT @IfcSummit: We are excited to welcome Director in Privacy and Security, Paul Lanois, for @Fieldfisher as a speaker at #IFCSummit. Paul…
MTBS3D Jim Jeffers talked about @intel’s efforts to enable over a billion users with creative and computing tools.… https://t.co/Z9fi0pS8xp

The Secret is OUT: Realistic VR Sales Predictions

Seen enough.

This all started when I was invited for an analyst call and the service wanted my opinions on VR and immersive tech and where things would ultimately go. There have been all kinds of promoted studies predicting that VR would sell in the millions of units as early as a year from now, and the industry would quickly grow to be valued in the tens of billions of dollars by 2020. In all cases, none of the studies demonstrated measurable fundamentals; at least none that I could see. With so much on the line for so many people, I knew I had to do better.

It's with thanks to Jon Peddie Research that I got my hands on the actual GPU sales for 2015, and from this as well as other criteria, I've been able to create a market sales analysis that I think is far more accurate and more telling than any other analysis currently promoted in the market. I've had it reviewed by several trusted individuals (including Dr. Jon Peddie), and while it's not an exact science, it has been holding up. At a minimum, analysts better than I will have something to build from.  What's key is I think I've identified some challenges the industry can overcome, but we have to work together.


I know - I had a little too much fun with the Soylent Green references. :-) It's still safe to eat your breakfast cereal! It's just that we finally have core data to make a pretty solid sales prediction and it's far different from anything that we have seen publicized to date. If the numbers hold up, and I trust my sources, this means the industry will need to work together for the market to last long term. This isn't an opinion; it's fact.  I just hope I don't end up like poor William Simonson (you have to watch the above trailer to get it)!

Anyways, read on and see what you think. This has also been published in JPR's TechWatch journal.