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MTBS3D RT @GetImmersed: Dr. Ofer Shai is the Director of Omnia AI at @DeloitteCanada. He talked about the misconceptions about #ArtificialIntellig
MTBS3D RT @GetImmersed: The use of #futurecomputing in #healthcare was one of the prominent tracks at #Immersed2018, and we got to see some really…
MTBS3D RT @GetImmersed: Ricardo Wagner, Director of Product Marketing for #Office365 at @microsoftcanada, talked about their efforts to make moder…
MTBS3D RT @GetImmersed: Pascal Langlois, Founder of Collective Intent, talks about the potential of using motion capture technologies to re-enable…
MTBS3D RT @GetImmersed: David Parker, Founder of @teamwishplay, talked at #Immersed2018 about how they are using #immersivetechnologies like #Virt
MTBS3D RT @GetImmersed: Richard Huddy, Head of the Game Ecosystem at the Samsung Research Institute (UK), was the second keynote at #Immersed2018.…
MTBS3D RT @GetImmersed: .@JoanneAska, Co-Founder of @TribeOfPan, talks about @TheChoice_VR their innovative #VR project that addresses the topic o…
MTBS3D .@ArozziChairs makes high-end #gaming chairs and tables. Scott Nishi, Sales Manager for Arozzi, spoke to us at… https://t.co/4U4LyU1SJn
MTBS3D .@pimaxofficial interview from #CES2019 includes news about their latest #5K and #8K #HMDs, eye tracking and new co… https://t.co/mmgw69jRTa
MTBS3D .@HP unleashes the #VR dinosaurs at #CES2019. 🦕 🦖 https://t.co/Ufed2K99F5 https://t.co/Rd5irCXzMZ
MTBS3D Today’s interview is with Jan Ludvig from @SenseArena. Jan was a professional #NHL #hockey player. He talked about… https://t.co/3fT7zWGmyI
MTBS3D Chia Chin Lee of, CEO of @BigBoxVR talks Population One at #CES2019. #VR #eSports https://t.co/xfIWYboVkQ https://t.co/3pW2AEPaxG
MTBS3D At #CES2019 we met with Rikard Steiber, President of #HTCViveport, and he talked about their new @htcvive Pro Eye,… https://t.co/WjugF0l5gJ
MTBS3D We met with Ryan McCall, Director of Strategy and Business Development for @UL_Benchmarks at #CES2019. He talked ab… https://t.co/lo8HZkYs5p
MTBS3D .@OmronAutomation talked about their ping pong playing robot at #CES2019. 🏓🤖 #Robotics #technologyhttps://t.co/SvdLiCYlbZ
MTBS3D MSI showcased their latest 17" GS75 Stealth laptop computer and talked about the availability of #VR readiness in t… https://t.co/3UrISM7nWK

The Secret is OUT: Realistic VR Sales Predictions

Seen enough.

This all started when I was invited for an analyst call and the service wanted my opinions on VR and immersive tech and where things would ultimately go. There have been all kinds of promoted studies predicting that VR would sell in the millions of units as early as a year from now, and the industry would quickly grow to be valued in the tens of billions of dollars by 2020. In all cases, none of the studies demonstrated measurable fundamentals; at least none that I could see. With so much on the line for so many people, I knew I had to do better.

It's with thanks to Jon Peddie Research that I got my hands on the actual GPU sales for 2015, and from this as well as other criteria, I've been able to create a market sales analysis that I think is far more accurate and more telling than any other analysis currently promoted in the market. I've had it reviewed by several trusted individuals (including Dr. Jon Peddie), and while it's not an exact science, it has been holding up. At a minimum, analysts better than I will have something to build from.  What's key is I think I've identified some challenges the industry can overcome, but we have to work together.


I know - I had a little too much fun with the Soylent Green references. :-) It's still safe to eat your breakfast cereal! It's just that we finally have core data to make a pretty solid sales prediction and it's far different from anything that we have seen publicized to date. If the numbers hold up, and I trust my sources, this means the industry will need to work together for the market to last long term. This isn't an opinion; it's fact.  I just hope I don't end up like poor William Simonson (you have to watch the above trailer to get it)!

Anyways, read on and see what you think. This has also been published in JPR's TechWatch journal.